Bad news on the UK Strain front.


Another independent line of evidence says the UK variant is about 50% more contagious. That's pretty much a wrap. This is very, very bad news for the UK, and bad news for everyone else.

They did a contact tracing analysis of patients with the new variant vs. patients with "wildtype" i.e. normal variants, and the new variant showed 50% more infections passed on to their contacts. That, combined with the geographic spread displacing other variants everywhere and the > 10x higher viral loads, makes it essentially certain.

Two tiny pieces of not-bad news:

  1. All the evidence still suggests the new variant is not more harsh or deadly, despite the extremely high viral loads.
  2. And the high viral loads will mean that antigen tests will perform much better once this is variant is dominant. How's that for a stretch?


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